Уильям Паундстоун - Камень ломает ножницы. Как перехитрить кого угодно: практическое руководство

С. 272. «всплеск популярности сленга 1950-х»: прогнозы 2006, на www.faithpopcorn.com.

С. 272. «будет принимать решения на поле боя»: прогнозы 2011, на www.faithpopcorn.com.

С. 272. «по мере того, как стоимость генетической модификации»: прогнозы 2006, на www.faithpopcorn.com.

С. 279. «Я критиковал всех…, кто заявлял»: Cassidy 2007.

С. 280. трейдеры торгового зала могут предсказать движение цен: Niederhoffer and Osborne 1966, 897.

С. 282. «профессиональные трейдеры скажут, что эти правила или их эквивалент им очень знакомы»: Niederhoffer and Osborne 1966, 914.

С. 283. …Кили сообщил, что с Таиландом…: Cassidy 2007.

С. 283. …больше половины дневной торговли: Steinert-Threlkeld 2013.

С. 285. …трейдинг опасен для вашего состояния: Barber and Odean 2007.

С. 285. Исследование среднего инвестора фирмой DALBAR: Richards 2010.

С. 285. «Люди склонны переоценивать свои возможности»: Nocera 2012.

С. 285. …акции американских взаимных фондов на 266 миллиардов долларов: Harris 2001.

С. 288. …прибыль за 5 или 10 лет: Graham and Dodd 1934, 452.

С. 288. … прогнозы аналитиков на текущую прибыль: Sharpe 2002, 637.

С. 294. «Создается впечатление, что прогнозировать…»: Shiller 1996.

С. 296. «Инвесторам, настроенным на долгосрочные вложения, рекомендуется»: Shiller 2005, 187.

С. 296. «Предположим, было продемонстрировано…»: Bogle 2007.

С. 297. …всего за 10 дней могли бы практически утроить состояние: Эти подсчеты сделаны на основе данных, опубликованных на сайте Wall Street Journal, online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3024– djia_alltime.html.

С. 300. около половины процентного пункта в год: подсчет произведен на основе данных и графиков в Stein and DeMuth 2003, 37–42.

С. 321. …300 миллиардов долларов: Эта цифра взята из Light, Rutledge, Singleton 2011, где нелегальные футбольный, баскетбольный и бейсбольный тотализаторы оцениваются суммой от 255 до 300 миллиардов долларов. Легальные спортивные ставки – это капля в море. В 2010 в Неваде они 2,8 миллиарда долларов.

С. 321. 5 миллиардов долларов: Это оценка Федеральной комиссии по торговле за 2003. Думаю, что сегодня цифра больше. См. www.ftc. gov/opa/2003/09/idtheft.shtm.

С. 321. 54 триллиона долларов: Roxburgh, Lund, Piotrowski 2011, 13.

С. 323. «Судьба чудовищна и пуста»: См. статью Wikipedia «O Fortuna».

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